Tuesday, August 19, 2014

Black economy now amounts to 75% of GDP

NEW DELHI, August 4, 2014

Updated: August 4, 2014 08:24 IST

India’s black economy could now be nearly three-quarters the size of its reported GDP. File Photo

India’s black economy could now be nearly three-quarters the size of its reported GDP

Driven substantially by the higher education sector, real estate deals and mining income, India’s black economy could now be nearly three-quarters the size of its reported Gross Domestic Product (GDP). These are among the findings of a confidential report commissioned by the government and accessed exclusively by The Hindu.

Since there were no “reliable” estimates of black money generated in India and held within and outside the country, the UPA government commissioned the National Institute of Public Finance and Policy (NIPFP) to estimate the black money in India and held overseas by Indians.

The Special Investigation Team on black money, constituted by the Narendra Modi government on May 27 in compliance with a Supreme Court directive, is studying the report.

Though the report was submitted to the Finance Ministry in December 2013, the UPA’s Finance Minister P. Chidambaram did not place it in Parliament. Nor has his successor Arun Jaitley done so.

The capitation fees collected by private colleges, on management quota seats in professional courses, last year was around Rs 5,953 crore, the report estimates.

 

‘Social spending programmes not reaching needy’

People wait for kerosene outside a fair price shop in Adilabad. File Photo: .> Harpal Singh

In 2009-10, 33% of PDS off-take of kerosene diverted for non-household use: report

The findings of a confidential report, commissioned by the government and accessed exclusively by The Hindu, have revealed that allocated expenditures of social spending programmes are not reaching intended users and confirm leakages due to corruption.

The capitation fees collected by private colleges, on management quota seats in professional courses, last year was around Rs 5,953 crore, the report estimates. Generation of black money in transfer of real estate properties is conservatively estimated at a staggering Rs 5,68,879 crore. If this could be plugged, India could almost double its Plan spending. Total Plan expenditure allocated by this year’s budget is Rs 5,75,000 crore.

For the decade 2001-2010, the average unaccounted income from minerals as a percentage of GDP is 10.32 per cent. This estimate excludes illegal mining and will be higher on accounting for that.

In 2009-10, almost 33 per cent of PDS off-take of kerosene or 3.87 billion litres was diverted for non-household uses. In 2011-12, Rs. 11,910 crore unaccounted incomes arose out of use of PDS kerosene as the adulterant for diesel.

The report finds that just 1.8 per cent of registered legal professionals file tax returns, including just 6.7 per cent of registered chartered accountants, 42.8 per cent of registered medical professionals and 35.2 per cent of nursing homes.

It includes a survey of 72 senior income tax officials on the sectors with high propensity to generate black money. The respondents considered the capital gains on real estate as the most important source followed by large-scale manufacturing, film industry, smuggling and under/over invoicing of foreign trade.

The study reports a discernible decline in percentage terms in the black economy post-1991 though in absolute terms it is still large. The foreign direct investment route is being used for taking black money out and bringing it back into India, the report finds. In 2011, unrecorded foreign assets worth $89,190 million were accumulated in India.

http://www.thehindu.com/news/national/allocated-expenditures-of-social-spending-programmes-are-not-reaching-intended-users-report/article6278037.ece?ref=relatedNews

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